Adtran Inc Stock Performance
| ADTN Stock | USD 10.07 0.19 1.92% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, ADTRAN holds a performance score of 17. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.56, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, ADTRAN will likely underperform. Please check ADTRAN's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether ADTRAN's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ADTRAN Inc are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very uncertain basic indicators, ADTRAN displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.80) | Five Day Return (1.50) | Year To Date Return 13.82 | Ten Year Return (46.45) | All Time Return 73.64 |
Last Split Factor 2:1 | Dividend Date 2023-09-05 | Ex Dividend Date 2023-08-18 | Last Split Date 2003-12-16 |
1 | Acquisition by Santo Timothy P of 6150 shares of ADTRAN at 8.02 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/28/2025 |
2 | Will ADTRAN Holdings Inc. stock return to pre crisis levels - Market Sentiment Summary Long-Term Growth Stock Strategies - | 12/19/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Jacqueline Hourigan Rice of 13809 shares of ADTRAN subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
4 | Adtran Holdings, Inc. Gregory James McCray, Acquisition of 13,809 shares of restricted stock as part of Equity Incentive Compensation. The restrictions lapse up... | 01/07/2026 |
5 | Analysis Recap Is ADTRAN Holdings Inc stock ready for breakout - July 2025 Drop Watch Breakout Confirmation Alerts - moha.gov.vn | 01/13/2026 |
6 | Disposition of 10247 shares by Thomas Stanton of ADTRAN at 9.24 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/20/2026 |
7 | ADTRAN Holdings Shareholders Are up 8.9 percent This Past Week, but Still in the Red Over the Last Three Years - | 01/23/2026 |
8 | Disposition of 14409 shares by Thomas Stanton of ADTRAN at 9.73 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/26/2026 |
9 | Hussman Strategic Advisors Inc. Takes Position in ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. ADTN - MarketBeat | 01/29/2026 |
10 | ADTRAN Holdings adds US51m to market cap in the past 7 days, though investors from three years ago are still down 41 | 02/09/2026 |
11 | Acquisition by Santo Timothy P of 20444 shares of ADTRAN subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/11/2026 |
12 | Rosenblatt Securities Reaffirms Buy Rating for ADTRAN | 02/19/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 87.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -64.3 M |
ADTRAN Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 735.00 in ADTRAN Inc on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 287.00 from holding ADTRAN Inc or generate 39.05% return on investment over 90 days. ADTRAN Inc is currently generating 0.5831% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.5724% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than ADTRAN, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
ADTRAN Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of ADTRAN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.07 | 90 days | 10.07 | about 7.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ADTRAN to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.0 (This ADTRAN Inc probability density function shows the probability of ADTRAN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
ADTRAN Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ADTRAN
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ADTRAN Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ADTRAN's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ADTRAN Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ADTRAN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ADTRAN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ADTRAN Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ADTRAN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
ADTRAN Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ADTRAN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ADTRAN Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 922.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (450.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 388.87 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Rosenblatt Securities Reaffirms Buy Rating for ADTRAN |
ADTRAN Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ADTRAN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ADTRAN's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ADTRAN's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 76 M |
ADTRAN Fundamentals Growth
ADTRAN Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ADTRAN, and ADTRAN fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ADTRAN Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.12 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0168 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.08) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.01) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 961.73 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 80.12 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 405.00 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 5.73 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.76 X | ||||
| Revenue | 922.72 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 388.87 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (330.14 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (450.07 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 111.9 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.53 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 215.5 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.67 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 1.77 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 103.57 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.95) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 791.55 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.17 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (688.81 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 316.96 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 235.56 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 32.05 M | ||||
About ADTRAN Performance
By examining ADTRAN's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into ADTRAN's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that ADTRAN is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 143.55 | 98.07 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.63) | (0.60) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.56) | (0.53) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.45) | (0.43) | |
| Return On Equity | (4.17) | (3.96) |
Things to note about ADTRAN Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about ADTRAN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ADTRAN Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 922.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (450.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 388.87 M. | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Rosenblatt Securities Reaffirms Buy Rating for ADTRAN |
- Analyzing ADTRAN's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ADTRAN's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining ADTRAN's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating ADTRAN's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ADTRAN's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ADTRAN's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ADTRAN's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ADTRAN Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Will Communications Equipment sector continue expanding? Could ADTRAN diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ADTRAN. If investors know ADTRAN will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every ADTRAN data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Earnings Share (0.95) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.227 | Return On Assets |
The market value of ADTRAN Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ADTRAN that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ADTRAN's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ADTRAN's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because ADTRAN's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ADTRAN's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that ADTRAN's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether ADTRAN represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, ADTRAN's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.